Smart % is the probability implied by Polymarket's proven traders — wallets that have cleared minimum history depth, win rate, and edge thresholds, then weighted by trader quality and current position size. Crowd % is the market-implied probability from the live price. Gap is the absolute disagreement in percentage points. Confidence reflects how broad and well-supported the smart-money signal is — HIGH means many qualified traders agree, LOW means the signal hangs on one or two wallets. Analysis powered by Radion, raw market data from Polymarket. None of this is a bet recommendation — it's an observation.