CAPTRACKER combines verified capper history, model edge, line data, and consensus into qualified model cards. Pier Pass unlocks the current qualified cards, sizing, thesis, and recorded results; some days have no play.
Heads up — SX doesn't list player props yet, so prop-heavy slate days look thin down here. Wallet B currently executes eligible moneyline selections only. Props, spreads, totals, rejected orders, and maker quotes that never fill are not represented in this record. This is a live betting experiment, not a guarantee of profit.
Every fill above was placed before the game started and settled on a public chain. The next one goes out the same way.
GET THE PICKSRather check than trust? Read the full method · audit every fill
Every sport runs through a tuned feature set. MLB — Poisson run-scoring on wOBA/xFIP with park factors and bullpen splits. NHL — xGF%/HDCF% differential, goalie GSAx, PDO regression, rest advantage. NBA — NetRtg gap, pace differential, back-to-back penalties. One model per sport. No one-size-fits-all.
The model is the floor — the market is the ceiling. We track line movement from open to close, flag reverse line moves (the line moves AGAINST the public side — the clearest fingerprint of sharp money), and grade every bet on closing line value — the only proof a model beats the market, not just wins bets.
We pull live Polymarket sentiment and compare it against sharp sportsbook lines to find divergence — when prediction-market traders disagree with the books, someone is wrong. We also track 1,000+ handicappers. When 3+ profitable cappers pile on the same side AND the model agrees AND the bot follows, that's a convergence play — the highest-conviction tier in the system.
Radion